Normally this report would have been penned at the first non-clear turn in B or C Weather Zones but because the game was near to conclusion it made more sense to run the game through to the end. Thus this report covers the period May I ’44 to Dec II ,44.
The action divides into 3 sectors (rather than the 4 fronts), Arctic, north of the Pripet and south of the marshes:
The Artic Front
Here the action is a slow and steady contraction of the German line from a wide arc cantered on Kautokeino and anchored on the Swedish border and the coast near Lakelva. Over the course of the next few months this moves back with the German forces attempting a phased retreat line to the strong mountainous position at the pinch point of the Swedish northern border and the Norwegian coast. Here there is a three hex wide range of mountains set behind a river. The Germans consider this impregnable and decide to make a last stand in front of Narvik the only remaining Victory Point city in this theatre. During the phased withdrawal the Soviets make two amphibious invasions to attempt to flank German forces. The first proves generally ineffective because the front advances ahead of the Marines invasion as the Germans leapfrogged back to their next position. The second amphibious invasion attempting to flank the mountain redoubt that the Germans have established is more successful. The highlight here is a surprise attack inland which captures the airfield at Bardfloss defended only by a positional flak unit. This proves a significant move but German forces remain resolute in their defence of the mountain position and reinforcements are drawn from the main front to bolster Narvik and counter-attack the Marines. There then follows a tit for tat exchange as reinforcement add to the German forces and Soviets bring theirs in by air and beachhead. Meanwhile the Soviets advancing on the main front have advanced beyond their supply head and there is no chance of Naval supply because there are no beaches in this mountainous area so intermittent cartage or air drop is the only supplies reaching the front. Generally therefore they are forced to fight at half strength. The main Soviet strength is the fleet and substantial air force transferred into the sector which significantly increases their striking power. In November/December just as the Soviets appear to be making progress against the German’s main defences the worsening weather with sea ice traps the fleet and prevents reinforcement of the beachhead other than through Bardfloss airfield which is limited and harassed by Luftwaffe fighters who have responded to the Soviet air build up by transferring into the Arctic. Because interception does not require the expenditure of resource points they prove a useful check to Soviet air power. The last turn of the game sees the Soviets breaking through the German mountainous position helped by the frozen river in the valley to the front but this is a short-lived victory. If the game were to extend into January ‘45 the Soviet beachhead with limited supplies would almost certainly succumb to the German attacks from Narvik direction before relief arrived. Narvik therefore remains in German hands at the end of the game gaining them a victory point.
The drive through Prussia and northern Poland
Compared to the cut and thrust of the Southern Front (see below) the action here comprises a gradual grind forward by the Soviet forces pushing the Axis ever closer to the Western map edge. This sector, however, is not without its drama and witnesses the last significant German counteroffensive of the war. I’m referring to the Bialystok battles in July and August 1944. At this point in this theatre the Soviets have enjoyed some localised success with pockets forming in Kaunas where primarily German units have been reduced and eliminated. A second major thrust is driving through towards Bialystok to the West and enjoys support from advancing infantry and artillery along the northern sides of the Prypet. Axis forces see an opportunity to deal the Soviets a telling blow. The Reds have advanced a Tank army forwards but infantry support is weak in the area. The Germans use their mobility to pull all available panzer and motorized support units from the front line thinning it somewhat but forming a potent counterattacking force. This force surrounds and attacks the Russian spearhead. The result is the elimination of a full Soviet mechanised stack and the isolation of a second stack. This would be a victory in itself but the week Russian response fails to break through to the beleaguered defenders and German forces take the bold decision to continue to engage the Soviets where previously they would have fallen back to a defensive posture. This follow-up attack results in the elimination of the second Russian armoured stack. The Axis consider whether or not they should press further East but learning the lessons of the Daugavpils operation six months earlier they decide not to press their luck. Nevertheless this operation has dealt a blow to Soviet ambitions on this axis resulting in the elimination of two armoured stacks and effectively reducing their armoured presence in this sector to an ineffective force. Indeed even by games end in December this sector remains the furthest West part of the German line such is the check to the advance. This victory though proves the be the last hurrah of German forces; never again will they be able to concentrate sufficient force to take on a major soviet thrust head -to-head. The closing stages of the Soviet thrusts across the Front continue to present the Axis forces with little other than single hit-and-run type engagements.
In the closing stages German units are ground down and pushed off the map edge with the ultimate finish line giving the Germans a tiny enclave at Danzig and an finger pointing towards Bialystok as the northern extent of the last bastion of German defence; Warsaw.
The Battle for Warsaw
The battles in the south of this sector to the west of the Prypet marshes centred around the former Polish capital. It becomes clear in the closing months of the war that Warsaw holds the key to ultimate Soviet victory providing collectively three victory points of city hexes. At the beginning of this final period the Axis held the Western Bug but continued Soviet pressure causes this line to crack. Soviet forces from the north (Belorussian Front) and South (Ukrainian Front) concentrate and in a joint operation finally penetrates the German line in multiple sectors. The scale of the victory increased by an ill-advised “No Retreat” directive from the Fuhrer which traps a number of Panzer forces although some do exfiltrate to freedom and aid the defence of Warsaw. But the front shifts to the gates of Warsaw where the final battle is joined.
At this point the Soviets make a crucial decision, one that ultimately allows a victory level to slip from their grasp. They decide to aim for an Automatic Victory which requires the capture of all major city hexes on the map. In these closing stages they already own all the other city hexes (Danzig is not required) and decide to attempt a knockout blow. They realise somewhat late in the day that the Victory Conditions state that all cities must be held at the beginning of the turn and so it is not sufficient for them to capture these on December II. By now Axis forces are pressed into a small perimeter and are extremely strong in the area. They have already counter-attacked and eliminated a couple of individual tank Corps who advanced too far West and have extracted many units from a pocket in just North/East of the city. Similarly they have managed to exfiltrate a number of seemingly lost panzers from the south and all these forces fall back to form a formidable defence around Warsaw. It is a long shot but the Soviets decide in Dec I to concentrate for a cross river assault to the western bank at the same time launching an attack on the partial city hex to the East. In the event they gain neither of these hexes and subsequent attacks in December II similarly fail in their intent. With the benefit of hindsight they probably would have been better advised to concentrate on eliminating the eastern hex in December I which would have allowed them a more viable attack on Western hex in December II where they may just have seized the city; but this was not to be.
Southern Sector, Army Group South and the Ukraine
In contrast to the slow and steady advance in the North characterised by small scale encirclements by the Soviets such as at Kaunas and limited counter-attacks and extractions by the Axis. The action South of the Pripet involving Army Group South was a completely different affair. The final period of the war begins with the Soviets having a one hex lodgement on the West bank of the Dnieper and Axis-Allies and German forces holding the bend of the river Don from The Pripet around the great bend of the river to Dnepropetrovsk through to Kherson.
The opening stages witnessed the last Soviet paradrop of the war to secure the neck of the Crimean Peninsula; a joint operation with naval landings in support. More significantly this period involved swirling tank battles centred around Cherkassy as the Soviets attempted to expand their bridgehead.
First the Soviets would be ascendant gaining a number of hexes but German counter-attacks would push them back isolating spearheads and causing losses. Again the Soviets would bring more troops across the river again counter-attacking the German defender. This action continued to and fro for two months with each side becoming ascendant in rotation. Each time however the soviets gaining one or two extra hexes along the river. Ultimately however it was not south of Kiev that the decisive blow was made but north where a mistake in the German defensive perimeter allowed a single engineer regiment to be left manning a 16 mile section of front. A Soviet tank corps moving south to join the action at Cherkassy took advantage of the situation and gained a foothold across the river 30 miles north of Kiev. With no reserves in the area the Germans were unable to counter-attack this lodgement which slowly grew and expanded gaining traction with pressure from infantry units infiltrating South from the marshes. Thus German High Command had to deal with two significant lodgements across the Dnieper. It was clear at this point that the river could not be held and the far eastern section of the line around Dnepropetrovsk started to pull back harried by Soviets crossing behind them. It was now that the Soviets dealt the final blow to Army Group South by attacking North across the East-West running section of the river to the East of Kherson. Despite a heroic defence by the Hungarian and German defenders who initially repulsed the invaders with heavy losses the line finally cracked and Soviet forces poured North. This drive met the Cherkassy pincer west of Krivoy-Rog and pocketed a large section of Army Group South, primarily German and Hungarians. Indeed the bulk of the Hungarian army was encircled. Thus the scene was set for the annihilation of Army Group South. Kiev was encircled and the Soviets had powerful mobile forces to the north and south of the city while in the south Soviet tankers were pressing unopposed by any effective opposition directly west towards Odessa. Axis defensive phase lines behind the various rivers in the area were dismantled with ease. It was only when the Soviets were at the end of their supply lines and had reached the Bessarabia border and the Rumanian Home Defence Army that the headlong advance was paused. So great was the slaughter that by June when the Soviets resumed their move west the German line in front of Lvov comprised a few salvaged Panzer divisions without any significant infantry support.
The second half of the period saw the Soviet forces continuing to press forward. In front and around Lvov this advance now replicated the style of combat which had been continuing in Army Group North and AGC sectors small breakthroughs and small gains against a strengthening and concentrated defence. In the south however the headlong advance of the Soviet tankers continued into Rumania pausing slightly at the last effective Axis defensive line based around Galati. A botched amphibious landing was driven off by Axis submarines and local patrol boats and by the time the landings occurred the westward advance had carried them past the lodgement areas, thus the last significant amphibious invasion on the main front became something of an irrelevant sideshow. A reasonable fighting force of German armour had managed to extract itself into Rumania following the collapse of Army Group South swirling battles continued as the German forces tried to extract themselves and at the same time inhibit and damage the Soviet spearheads. With the bulk of the Rumanian Army eliminated the defence around Bucharest was pitifully inadequate to prevent the inevitable occupation of the city. Axis presence was eliminated south of the Hungarian border.
(As a political aside the Soviets decided to refuse Rumanian offers of peace calculating that a’s change of allegiance with the hand them Bucharest on a plate in the event Rumanian decided to stand fast with their German overlords and continued the fight to the bitter end. This decision cost the Soviets dearly because they continued to operate on extended supply lines to the western borders of Romania thus placing the majority of Steppe Front mobile assets out of supply in winter from where it was impossible to redeploy or exit the map.)
To the north the Hungarians had, with German support, made a reasonable defence of their borders but as Soviet infantry in the latter half of the year slowly built up and forced the mountain passes the war ended with a small enclave of Hungarian and German forces occupying the western part of Hungary.
Victory Assessment
It became clear some months of game time ago that the game was inevitably leading to a substantial Soviet Victory of some degree or another, although the exact scale of that was not apparent till the last few turns were played out.
The Axis were aided by the Soviet’s failure to appreciate some of the nuances of the Victory Conditions. Firstly that Soviets exiting the map need to be supplied. This is nowhere mentioned in the Victory Condition rules but in the Exiting The Map rules so was not appreciated until the Soviets had over committed in Rumania where changing weather stranded a large tank army which could not exit the map to gain the victory shift and was moribund out of supply in mud and could not reposition to northern Hungary where they may been able to bludgeon through the mountains and exit there.
Secondly the Automatic Victory Conditions have to be achieved at the start of a turn, not by an end game assessment. Consequently this needs to be achieved at the start of Sov Dec II turn.
Thus in Nov the Soviets had to make a decision; Do they play towards a standard Decisive Victory by capturing 2 more city points (Warsaw West because Narvik was unassailable) or go for an Automatic win by capturing the whole of the city and thus controlling all major city hexes. In the end they decide upon the very low odds chance of an Automatic by making 4 low odds city assaults against a well dug in defender. This failed and effectively robbed themselves of the chance of a Decisive victory by gaining Warsaw East on Dec I and having a better chance against Warsaw West in Dec II.
At game end the Axis held 4 points worth of cities (Narvik and All of Warsaw) which translates as a Substantive victory for the soviets. They also had Force Ratio shift for Military Superiority well in excess of the requires 3:1 with a whopping 6.7:1. This gave them a Substantive +1 victory (Decisive)
As an aside I wonder how players rank the victory levels between city points and shifts. I have taken it to be that a victory level is the same no matter how achieved but at the top of the table it is possible to shift up to 2 further levels. Therefore the levels seem to me to be: Marginal, Substantive, Decisive, (either by pure city points, shifts or a combination of both) Decisive +1, Decisive +2, Automatic.
I feel the situation on the ground warranted a better than Decisive for the Soviets. With so few Axis surviving in such a small area a better organised Soviets could have achieved Decisive + 1 by gaining a shift by exiting the map. That is not to belittle the spirited defence of the city by the battered and decimated Axis forces that denied the Soviets the coveted Automatic Victory and held them to a Decisive Victory.